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November surprise?

Don't expect any changes in Iraq policy until after the elections. But after that, anything goes. I'm not yet convinced that the notoriously stubborn Bush will un-stay the course, but he will be under great pressure from all sides to do so.

First, Senator Warner didn't exactly pull the plug, but he started yanking on it:

In two or three months if this thing hasn't come to fruition and if this level of violence is not under control and this government able to function, I think it's a responsibility of our government internally to determine is there a change of course we should take. I wouldn't take off the table any option at this time.

Then, Senator Hagel basically said that the war was a dumb idea. Speaking in Hanoi:

"War should always be a last resort" he remarked. "Leaders of nations should never commit a country to war unless they have carefully thought through the consequences of that action."

Hagel noted that prior to the invasion of Iraq he had asked "some very significant question about going to war."

Then Senator Joe Biden (in Iraq, he's known as Joe Carve-Up-Iraq) said that Republicans in Congress are getting antsy:

Two leading Republican senators have come to me, [saying] 'Joe, I am getting beat up by my team.

Biden added, according to ABC, that after the elections "Republicans will be freer to break with the White House and call for change in Iraq."

BBC suggests, as I've been writing for several months now, that Jim Baker's high-powered ISG might be the way to convince the prez to change things:

President Bush is also waiting for a report from the bipartisan Iraq Study Group which will report after the mid-terms.

This group, led by an old Bush family friend and former Secretary of State James Baker and by Democrat Lee Hamilton, could be the peg on which any shift of policy might be hung.

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Comments (1)

Larry:

I think Bush will start another war no matter who is in Congress.

My bet is on Syria, as they are about like Iraq. They have a worthless army and lots of oil.

Look where that got Bush in Iraq.

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